地球信息科学学报 ›› 2018, Vol. 20 ›› Issue (8): 1094-1101.doi: 10.12082/dqxxkx.2018.170310
收稿日期:
2017-07-10
修回日期:
2018-03-10
出版日期:
2018-08-25
发布日期:
2018-08-24
通讯作者:
桑燕芳
E-mail:inslixin@163.com;sangyf@igsnrr.ac.cn
作者简介:
作者简介:李鑫鑫(1993-),女,河南省濮阳人,硕士生,主要从事水文系统变异诊断与模拟研究。E-mail:
基金资助:
LI Xinxin1,2(), SANG Yanfang1,*(
), XIE Ping3, LIU Changming1
Received:
2017-07-10
Revised:
2018-03-10
Online:
2018-08-25
Published:
2018-08-24
Contact:
SANG Yanfang
E-mail:inslixin@163.com;sangyf@igsnrr.ac.cn
Supported by:
摘要:
极端降水极易引发山洪和城市内涝等水灾害,给生态环境安全、社会经济发展、人民生命财产安全等带来极大损失,认识其(尤其是短历时)空间分布差异对洪涝灾害防治等具有重要意义。本文利用60 min、6 h和24 h共3种历时的年最大降雨量的统计特征参数,生成服从皮尔逊-Ⅲ型分布的长序列样本,并选用信息熵指标研究其随机性及空间分布差异。结果显示:各历时年最大降雨量的随机性均呈现由东南向西北逐渐减小的空间格局,但不同历时降水随机性的空间分布存在差异,主要体现在青藏高原东部、海河流域和淮河流域3个区域。此外,所求年最大降雨量信息熵值主要考虑了其取值的相对离散情况,故该信息熵值与整个序列绝对离散程度(即标准差)的关系不明显,而主要由序列均值处峰值高低的峰度系数决定,二者呈现明显的负相关关系;且由于峰度系数和变差系数的良好相关性也导致了变差系数与信息熵值之间呈现出良好关系。季风、台风、局地天气系统和人类活动等因素综合影响,决定了不同历时极端降水的空间分布格局及其差异。信息熵指标可以很好地反映中国各历时年最大降雨量随机性的空间分布格局,因而结果可为洪涝灾害防治、农业规划布局、生态环境规划保护等提供科学依据。
李鑫鑫, 桑燕芳, 谢平, 刘昌明. 我国不同历时年最大降雨量的随机性及空间差异性[J]. 地球信息科学学报, 2018, 20(8): 1094-1101.DOI:10.12082/dqxxkx.2018.170310
LI Xinxin,SANG Yanfang,XIE Ping,LIU Changming. Stochastic Characteristics of Annual Extreme Rainfall with Different Durations and Their Spatial Difference in China[J]. Journal of Geo-information Science, 2018, 20(8): 1094-1101.DOI:10.12082/dqxxkx.2018.170310
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