地球信息科学学报 ›› 2018, Vol. 20 ›› Issue (10): 1388-1395.doi: 10.12082/dqxxkx.2018.180169
收稿日期:
2018-04-10
修回日期:
2018-07-19
出版日期:
2018-10-25
发布日期:
2018-10-17
作者简介:
作者简介:赵 娜(1986-),女,副研究员,主要从事气候要素模拟及气候变化研究。E-mail:
基金资助:
Received:
2018-04-10
Revised:
2018-07-19
Online:
2018-10-25
Published:
2018-10-17
Contact:
ZHAO Na
E-mail:zhaon@lreis.ac.cn
Supported by:
摘要:
本研究以黑河流域为例,通过在不同空间尺度上建立降水与影响因素的关系并选择最优尺度以此进行降尺度,建立了基于地理加权回归(GWR)与高精度曲面建模方法(HASM)相结合的跨尺度统计降尺度方法,对TRMM降水数据进行了降尺度模拟。最后,结合站点观测数据采用交叉验证法对降尺度结果进行了验证。结果表明,与传统的降尺度方法相比,考虑最优尺度的降尺度方法在一定程度上提高了降尺度结果的精度,同时表明对跨尺度过程中产生的误差进行修正可进一步提高结果精度。本研究所提出的方法可用于粗分辨率降水数据的降尺度模拟,可为站点稀疏地区或地形复杂地区高分辨率高精度降水数据的获取提供方法上的支持。
赵娜, 焦毅蒙. 基于TRMM降水数据的空间降尺度模拟[J]. 地球信息科学学报, 2018, 20(10): 1388-1395.DOI:10.12082/dqxxkx.2018.180169
ZHAO Na,JIAO YiMeng. Downscaling of TRMM Satellite Precipitation Data[J]. Journal of Geo-information Science, 2018, 20(10): 1388-1395.DOI:10.12082/dqxxkx.2018.180169
表1
不同降尺度方式及降尺度前后结果误差"
误差 | TRMM | GWR | GWRoptimal-HASM | GWR-HASM | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1月 | MAE/mm | 0.9282 | 0.9259 | 0.9271 | 0.9488 |
RMSE/mm | 1.2213 | 1.1860 | 1.1759 | 1.2285 | |
PBIAS/% | -0.2071 | -0.3033 | -0.2005 | -0.2602 | |
4月 | MAE/mm | 4.6879 | 2.1075 | 2.0107 | 2.7614 |
RMSE/mm | 7.5588 | 2.6821 | 2.5658 | 4.1456 | |
PBIAS/% | -2.2401 | -1.0159 | -1.0002 | -1.2880 | |
7月 | MAE/mm | 43.5698 | 43.000 | 42.1283 | 44.9397 |
RMSE/mm | 54.4638 | 53.7348 | 52.5625 | 55.6298 | |
PBIAS/% | 0.4971 | 0.4967 | 0.4817 | 0.5051 | |
10月 | MAE/mm | 4.2226 | 2.7978 | 2.4975 | 3.1629 |
RMSE/mm | 5.7366 | 3.4299 | 2.8917 | 4.0989 | |
PBIAS/% | -1.5358 | -0.9615 | -0.8491 | -1.1724 |
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