Journal of Geo-information Science >
Gridding Methods of City Permanent Population Based on Night Light Data and Spatial Regression Models
Received date: 2017-02-24
Request revised date: 2017-07-26
Online published: 2017-10-20
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It is important to acquire the amount and the spatial distribution features of permanent population accurately, which can be used to clarify the development of social state. Thus, it would enhance the capacity of population management. Currently, population census data is mainly collected in administrative regions, making it difficult to describe the spatial distribution features of population in cities. Moreover, the precision decreases when using night light data to regress population, and it is clearly affected by roads, public service facilities and the lights of the cities. Therefore, it is necessary to improve the precision of population regression. This study takes Shanghai as the study area because it is one of the national center cities and faced with huge population pressure along with the rapid urbanization processes. Two types of data sources are involved in the study, including the National Polar-orbiting Partnership Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (NPP -VIIRS) night light data and township-level permanent population census data. We extracted the night light data in commercial and residential land in order to mitigate the influence of roads and the lights of the city. Results showed that the correlation coefficient between summation of night light data and amount of permanent population was improved from 0.7032 to 0.8026. Further, we used a spatial regression model to derive the permanent population of Shanghai in 2013, and found that the relative error is 10.57%. Finally, we corrected the results in partition. Experimental results of high precision can be achieved when spatial regression model was used to regress permanent population. Moreover, the gridding results of permanent population can make up the shortcoming of low spatial resolution of traditional statistical data, and describe the circle feature and real distribution of permanent population with more details.
LI Xiang , CHEN Zhenjie , WU Jiexuan , WANG Wenxiang , QU Lean , ZHOU Chen , HAN Xiaofeng . Gridding Methods of City Permanent Population Based on Night Light Data and Spatial Regression Models[J]. Journal of Geo-information Science, 2017 , 19(10) : 1298 -1305 . DOI: 10.3724/SP.J.1047.2017.01298
Tab. 1 Data source and main parameters表1 数据来源及主要参数 |
类型 | 名称 | 来源 | 分辨率/m | 比例尺 |
---|---|---|---|---|
夜间灯光 数据 | 月际NPP-VIIRS 夜间灯光数据 | NGDC | 约500 | - |
年际DMSP-OLS 夜间灯光数据 | NGDC | 约1000 | - | |
矢量数据 | 上海市乡镇级 行政区划 | 上海市民政局 | - | 1:150 000 |
上海市土地利用 调查数据 | 上海市国土局 | - | 1:150 000 | |
统计数据 | 上海市乡镇级常住 人口统计数据 | 上海市统计局 | - | - |
Fig. 1 NPP-VIIRS night light data of Shanghai in 2013图1 2013年上海市NPP-VIIRS夜间灯光数据 |
Fig. 2 DMSP-OLS night light data of Shanghai in 2013图2 2013年上海市DMSP-OLS夜间灯光数据 |
Fig. 3 Size of permanent population of all towns in Shanghai in 2013图3 2013年上海市各乡(镇、街道)常住人口数 |
Fig. 4 Summation of NPP-VIIRS night light data in commercial and residential land of all towns in Shanghai in 2013图4 2013年上海市各乡(镇、街道)商业和居住区NPP-VIIRS夜间灯光数据累计值 |
Tab. 2 Goodness comparison among OLS, SLM and SEM表2 OLS、SLM与SEM模型优度比较 |
模型比较 | OLS | SLM | SEM |
---|---|---|---|
R2 | 0.8026 | 0.8064 | 0.8154 |
LogL | -2741.15 | -2730.49 | -2721.11 |
P | - | 0.00 | 0.00 |
AIC | 5486.30 | 5466.97 | 5446.23 |
SC | 5493.15 | 5477.24 | 5453.07 |
LM | - | 22.81 | 50.12 |
RLM | - | 0.80 | 28.11 |
Fig. 5 Test of the results in township level图5 分乡镇回归结果检验 |
Fig. 6 Permanent population density in township level of Shanghai in 2013图6 2013年上海市乡镇级常住人口密度 |
Fig. 7 Permanent population gridding results of Shanghai in 2013图7 2013年上海市常住人口格网化结果 |
The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.
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